MOST Scots would vote for independence if a referendum were held tomorrow, a fresh poll carried out in the middle of the Holyrood election campaign has found.
A poll of just over 1000 Scots commissioned by James Kelly of the pro-independence Scot Goes Pop blog found 53% would vote Yes, excluding don't knows.
When don't knows are left in, 50% would vote Yes while 44% would vote to remain in the Union.
The survey was carried out between April 15 and 20 for Scot Goes Pop.
According to Kelly, there have been nine polls this year that suggest Scots would go for independence out of 15 which have asked the question.
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Kelly said: "In my view, what is most significant about these results is that they are bang up to date and are taken from fieldwork right in the middle of an election campaign, because we know from past experience that independence support sometimes dips during elections, even when the SNP's own vote holds up.
"That's probably because Unionist parties devote so much of their campaigning to attacks on the subject without the SNP necessarily responding in kind. But on the evidence of this poll, it's not a problem on this occasion."
The poll found a large gulf between the youngest and oldest respondents, with the best age bracket for Yes being people in their 30s who backed it by 68% to 27%.
The age group who voted most strongly for No was 65 to 74 year olds, by 69% to 26%.
The youngest age group to back No over all was 55 to 64 year olds.
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Among people who voted for Unionist parties in the 2024 UK General Election, there was "considerable" minority support for independence.
A total of 26% of Labour voters, 21% of LibDem voters, and 20% of Reform UK voters would back Yes in a new referendum.
Kelly said: "In a way that's a bad thing, though, because we want all independence supporters to be voting for pro-independence parties. We don't want then cross-voting for Unionist parties."
He added there would be Holyrood polling to come which will contain "extraordinary" results.
"The settled will klaxon is sounding tonight," Kelly went on.
"There's plenty more to come from this poll, including the Holyrood numbers, which contain a really quite stunning result in one particular respect. The more I've checked it and compared it to previous polls, the more extraordinary it looks."
A poll this week from More in Common showed Unionist parties could hold the majority in Holyrood after May 7, though more than half of constituencies are considered marginal.
The survey found the SNP will continue to be the largest party, but John Swinney’s party and the Greens would fall one seat short of a majority.
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