SUPPORT for Welsh independence has risen with the majority of young people in favour of leaving the Union, a fresh poll shows.
A poll by Redfield and Wilton Strategies revealed that with Don’t Knows removed, 36% of people would vote Yes if there were to be a referendum tomorrow on the question "Should Wales be an independent country?".
The results were 58% for No, 32% for Yes – up to two percentage points from last month - with 10% saying Don’t Know.
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Notably, the majority of 18 to 24-year-olds (53%) said they would vote for independence. With don't knows removed, this stands at 55%.
The majority of 25 to 34-year-olds (52%) also said they would vote 'yes' to self-determination.
Meanwhile, the majorities of those aged 35 to 44 (55%), 45 to 54 (66%), 55 to 64 (55%), and 65+ (70%) would vote No in a referendum.
The poll also showed belief in the pro-independence side being able to win a referendum is gradually increasing.
+2 on the last poll, solid polling once again around the 1 in 3 mark.
— Ethan Jones 🏴 (@Ethan4Indy) July 19, 2023
Worth remembering we were as low as 8% just over 10 years ago.
Substantial shift, regardless of how it’s spun. pic.twitter.com/vShFvA2czZ
A total of 50% of Welsh voters said they would expect the anti-independence side to emerge victorious if a referendum were to be held in the next six months, while 28% - up three percentage points from last month – felt the Yes side would win.
YesCymru has said support for independence is now consistently at 1 in 3, without “a proper national conversation having occurred”.
CEO Gwern Gwynfil said: "This is great news yet again for the Welsh independence campaign.
"The numbers are even better when people were asked if they'd be more likely to vote for independence in Wales if Scotland voted for independence.
"We must now persuade all those who are waiting on Scotland to show us the way to be more confident so that we can show Scotland the way."
On the question of whether an independence referendum should take place—and if so, when - 39% would oppose a referendum on Welsh independence being held in the next year, while 33% - up three percentage points - would support one being held in this timeframe.
There was a split on whether a referendum should be held if the UK Government does not agree to it. A total of 35% said a poll should only be held if Westminster gives the green light, but 34% disagreed with this condition.
Approval ratings in Wales for both Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer were down.
The Prime Minister has an approval rating of -26% (down 9%) while the Labour leader has fallen firmly into minus figures, with his rating now at -5% (down 4%).
The poll was conducted between July 14 and 18.
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