ALISTER Jack, Douglas Ross and David Mundell would be among the MPs to lose their seats if a General Election was held, according to a poll.
Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus conducted the research using a technique aimed at providing results that would be more accurate at a constituency level.
The poll, run on behalf of the Daily Telegraph, predicted the SNP to receive a UK-wide vote share of 5% – meaning the party would take all 59 Scottish seats.
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This would see the party gaining 11 seats, mostly at the expense of the Tories and LibDems, though Labour's Ian Murray would lose out in Edinburgh South.
The poll put Labour at 35%, translating to 271 seats, with the Tories on 36%, losing 77 seats and falling to a total of 288.
Labour’s Keir Starmer would need the support of the SNP to form a government in that scenario.
The LibDem MPs predicted to lose their seat are Jamie Stone in Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross; Christine Jardine in Edinburgh West; Wendy Chamberlain in Fife North; and Alistair Carmichael in Orkney and Shetland.
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The Tories losing their seats would be Andrew Bowie in Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine; David Duguid in Banff and Buchan; John Lamont in Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk; Scotland Secretary Alister Jack in Dumfries and Galloway; David Mundell in Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale; and Scottish Tory leader Douglas Ross in Moray.
The fieldwork was carried out from November 29 to December 1 – meaning the latest revelations in the Downing Street Christmas party row are likely to make the situation even more grim for the Tories.
The poll used regression techniques, also called MRP (multi-level regression and post stratification).
The pollsters said: “These techniques work by spotting patterns between people’s demographic characteristics and their likelihood to vote for various parties.”
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Chris Holbrook, CEO of Find Out Now, said: "A combination of a tough month for the Conservatives and Keir Starmer belatedly benefiting from media appearances are making some previously solid Tory seats look shakey."
Martin Baxter, CEO of Electoral Calculus, added: "Our latest poll with Find Out Now shows the Conservatives are not doing well with the public. Labour is now about equal in popularity and likely to win nearly as many seats if there were a sudden election.
"Given the parliamentary arithmetic, it could be more likely for Keir Starmer to be Prime Minister. That's a big change since Labour's relatively poor performance at the local elections earlier this year."
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