THE latest Scottish Parliament election poll predicts Nicola Sturgeon’s party will secure a majority at tomorrow’s vote.
Ipsos MORI’s survey, carried out from April 30-May 3, puts SNP support in the constituencies at 50%, down three points on last month’s poll. According to Ballot Box Scotland, this would result in the SNP securing 69 seats, four more than what is required for a majority.
The party’s list support is up one point to 39%, the poll said.
Meanwhile the Scottish Greens are at 12% in the regional list, which would give them 12 seats according to Ballot Box Scotland. This marked no change from the firm’s previous poll carried out March 29-April 4.
READ MORE: Scottish election: SNP and Greens set for historic election success
Scottish Labour’s support is up four points in the constituencies, according to Ipsos MORI, to 22%, while their regional list support stayed at 18%.
The Tories were on 20% in the constituency vote, marking no change, while their list backing was up two points at 23%.
The LibDems’ list support was down two points to 4% while there was no change to their constituency figure on 6%.
Projecting Ipsos MORI 30 Apr - 3 May into seats (changes vs 29 Mar - 4 Apr / vs 2016):
— Ballot Box Scotland (@BallotBoxScot) May 5, 2021
SNP ~ 69 (-2 / +6)
Conservative ~ 27 (+3 / -4)
Labour ~ 19 (nc / -5)
Green ~ 11 (nc / +5)
Lib Dem ~ 3 (-1 / -2)
Caveats: https://t.co/htRlo66HPJ pic.twitter.com/e7Vz6aAHl6
Alba was down one point to 2%, according to the polling firm.
If these figures are replicated tomorrow, the SNP will win 69 seats, the Tories will win 27 seats (down four), Labour will win 19 seats (down five), the Greens will win 11 seats (up five) and the LibDems will win three seats (down two).
More to follow
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