FORECASTERS believe Scotland’s coronavirus death rate will fall as the country’s tiered restrictions appear to curb the spread of the virus.

Forecasters cut the number of people predicted to die with Covid-19 by two-thirds after hospitality and household visiting restrictions took effect.

Earlier data suggested that Covid deaths could increase to 70 each day by Tuesday if further measures were not implemented – and could possibly go as high as 90 per day, higher than the previously recorded deadliest day in April.

The latest testing statistics from Public Health Scotland has allowed forecasters to update their predictions, with the expected death toll now lower.

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It is thought the fatality rate for the same time period will be between 15 and 20 deaths before increasing to between 20 and 30 by November 15.

The Scottish Government’s epidemic modelling report said that people are having less contact with each other across age groups. “This suggests restrictions on households meeting and further restrictions have had a noticeable effect,” it explained.

The report also suggests Edinburgh’s case numbers could shrink to one of the lowest rates in the country by November 15. Leaders in the city now hope they could be placed into level 2.

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The First Minister is not expected to amend the current levels at next week’s review as measures take time to have an effect.

The modelling update came after 31 further coronavirus deaths were confirmed by the Scottish Government yesterday.

Speaking from the daily briefing the First Minister also confirmed there had been 1072 cases confirmed, accounting for 5.5% of all tests carried out.

There were also 1237 people in hospital with coronavirus, a decrease of 15 on the previous day.

There were 98 people in intensive care, an increase of three.

Scotland’s newest coronavirus figures will be released after 2pm today – there are no government briefings on weekends.