THE findings from the poll provide further evidence that the mood of voters on the constitutional question has changed during 2020. There is a consistent picture painted across a number of questions in the survey which enable that conclusion to be reached.

Firstly, while the proportion of those who are undecided is in line with previous polls, the balance between Yes and No, measured either by those who express a strong preference or a broad preference, is moving in the direction of Yes.

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That is backed by examining analysis of those who have changed their minds or have become undecided since 2014; this shows that around a quarter of all voters have either changed their minds or become unsure but, crucially, that 2014 No voters are around twice as likely to be in those groups than 2014 Yes voters.

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